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Economic Calendar Use our economic calendar to explore key global events on the horizon that could subtly shift or substantially shake up the financial markets. Last seven days. Next seven days. Timezone High High. Medium Medium. Low Low. Euro Area. Non-Eurozone Europe. Asia and Pacific. Middle East and Africa. United States. European Union. Czech Republic. United Kingdom. New Zealand. The report is compiled by the Federal Reserve, and is published around the middle of each month.
Some of the index data comes from hard data, reported directly for certain industries from trade organisations or official surveys, but this may not always be available on a monthly basis. To fill the gaps, the FED makes estimates using proxies, such as hours worked from the Employment Situation report, or THE amount of power used in the month by the industry in question.
The full process for calculating the index is set out in the best place to look for a full rundown of the methodology involved — the FED's own 'Explanatory Pages'. There are hundreds of components that make up the index, which is then reported as an index level. For example, the preliminary release of the industrial production index for September came in at This is an expression of the current output relative to the base year. At the time of writing, the FED used as its base period.
The September level of The industrial sector is important because, along with the construction sector, it is responsible for the majority of the change in US output seen in the business cycle, and can offer insights into the evolution of structural economic changes. The Industrial Production Index is procyclical. This means there is agreement between its movements and the changes in the business cycle. The correlation between this index and economic activity is close enough for some analysts to use this report as an early signal for how GDP might be performing.
This indicator gauges how the US manufacturing sector is running as a proportion of full capacity. The definition of full capacity is the greatest level of sustainable output a factory can achieve within a realistic framework. In other words, it takes into account things such as normal downtime. It is calculated as a ratio of the industrial production index divided by an index of full capacity.
It may also provide clues about inflation. If factories are running hot, it's a reasonable assumption that producers may raise prices. If factories are running close to their maximum capacity, machines are likely to fail as a result of being overworked. Taking machines offline poses the risk of laying off workers at a time of high demand, which is undesirable.
Accordingly, manufacturers are likely to cope with high demand by raising prices, rather than laying off workers. This, in turn, is likely to feed through to consumer prices, leading to higher inflation. Conversely, if capacity utilisation is running at low levels, it is a signifier of economic weakness.
As such, this indicator is used by the FED to gauge trends in manufacturing, the wider economy, and also inflation. This makes it an important indicator for CFD traders to follow, particularly for bond traders, but it's also a key marker for those involved in the shares and FX markets. If you're keen to trade indicators like this, but you aren't ready to start trading with your own money, did you know that it's possible to trade with virtual currency, using real-time market data and insights from professional trading experts, without putting any of your capital at risk?
That's right. With an Admiral Markets' risk-free demo trading account, professional traders can test their strategies and perfect them without risking their money. A demo account is the perfect place for a beginner trader to get comfortable with trading, or for seasoned traders to practice. Whatever the purpose may be, a demo account is a necessity for the modern trader. Open your FREE demo trading account today by clicking the banner below! It is, however, better known by Forex traders simply as retail sales.
The Census Bureau, which is a division of the U. Department of Commerce, releases the report roughly two weeks after the month in question, at The report gives an early estimate of the nominal Dollar value of sales within the retail sector that is, the number is not adjusted for inflation and it also reports the number as a percentage change from the previous month. Usually, it is this latter figure that CFD and Forex traders respond to.
It is a closely-followed report and has the potential to send perturbations through market prices, especially if there is a big divergence between the reported figure, and Wall Street expectations. Why is it such a closely-followed report? It's all about personal consumption expenditures PCE. PCE is a major contributor to the growth of US economy. The data covered in that report is more comprehensive than the retail sales report.
Crucially, though, retail sales data comes out a good couple of weeks earlier, thus providing a more timely insight into effectively the same area of the economy. If retail sales are increasing, it is an indication of economic health, and it tends to have a bullish effect on the stock market. Strong sales data may lead to rising prices, however, meaning that there are inflationary considerations to be taken into account. This tends to have a positive effect on the US Dollar, but is bearish for bond prices.
Conversely, weakness in the retail sales report tends to depress the stock market, is bearish on the US Dollar, but bullish for bond prices. Certain components of the report may contribute to unwanted volatility from an analysis perspective. Motor vehicles, because of the expense of such items, tend not to be evenly distributed month to month.
Accordingly, analysts often focus on retail sales, excluding auto sales in order to remove unpredictable variations, and to perceive underlying trends in the data more easily. Department of Commerce. The Advance Report on Durable Goods, to give it its full name, is released around 18 business days into the month, after the month for which it is reporting the precise day varies according to the schedule of other key releases at the time.
Durable goods are defined as items that are expected to last for at least three years. In other words, we are generally talking about expensive items that tend to be bought infrequently. This infrequency means that the report is subject to volatility and you need to be very careful about what you read into a single report in isolation. Analysts often exclude the transport component of the report, to try and mitigate this volatility. Another method employed is to consider a series of reports together in order to try and gauge some kind of feeling for an underlying trend.
Also, beware of revisions to a previous month's data, which can be substantial. If demand is strong and companies have an upbeat outlook, we would expect to see increases in new orders for durable goods. On the other hand, in a weak economic climate, we would expect to see lower orders. Therefore, strength in this report is bullish for risk appetite, and weakness is bearish.
As far as CFD traders go, strength in durable goods is a positive sign for stocks, all other things being equal. In terms of the effect on the Forex market, it is a similar story for the US Dollar as it is for stocks: a strong report is bullish for USD, as a burgeoning economy would tend to lean towards a tighter bias in monetary policy from the FED.
This 'Weekly Report' measures the number of people making first-time claims for unemployment benefit insurance. This provides a useful update on the strength of the labour market, particularly when it coincides with the sample week used for the 'Employment Situation' report. Short-term changes in the labour market are much more likely to be reflected in the weekly initial jobless claims data, than in the monthly employment report.
Knowing about which economic indicators impact the Forex market is one thing, but keeping on top of the releases is another. To properly keep yourself up-to-date, you need to plan ahead and have a good quality news feed. To help plan your schedule, try taking a look at Admiral Markets' Forex Calendar. MTSE is a custom plugin, which offers a wide selection of trading tools, including a real-time news feed via 'Admiral Connect'.
Try out trading on the back of economic releases, and see how you do with a demo trading account. You'll be using real market prices, but you won't be risking real money, so you can practise until you are proficient, and confident enough to face the live markets!
We hope that these detailed definitions of economic indicators have helped you. Of course, the list is far from comprehensive, but you should find that those included here are among the more impactful economic indicators for Forex trading. Bear in mind, that when we have described the possible impact of economic results, it is with the caveat of 'ceteris paribus'.
Which is to say, the actual results may be more nuanced than simply one variable being at play. A strong payrolls result would normally be considered a bullish result for the US Dollar, but Forex traders also need to look at how inflation expectations may be influencing monetary policy, the path other central banks are following, and what has already been priced into the Forex market.
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Please note that such trading analysis is not a reliable indicator for any current or future performance, as circumstances may change over time. Before making any investment decisions, you should seek advice from independent financial advisors to ensure you understand the risks.
Contact us. Why Us? Financial Security Scam warning NB! Login Start trading. Choose your language. November 11, UTC. Reading time: 23 minutes. What Economic Indicators Are There? All three have their uses and may impact the Forex market in different ways. A Guide to the Forex Trading Sessio
If retail growth is stalled or slowing, this means consumers are not spending at previous levels and could signal recession due to the significant role personal consumption plays in the health of the economy. The most important employment announcement occurs on the first Friday every month. It includes the unemployment rate percentage of the work force that is unemployed, the number of jobs created, the average hours worked per week and average hourly earnings.
This report usually results in significant market movement. As a result many analysists, traders and investors anticipate the NFP number and the directional movement it will cause. With so many parties watching this report and interpreting it, even when the number comes in line with the estimates, it can cause large rate swings.
As with other indicators, the difference between the actual NFP data and the expected figures will determine the overall effect of the data in the market. In the non-farm payroll is expanding, it is a good indication that the economy is growing and vice versa. However, if increases in NFP occur at a fast rate, this may lead to an increase in inflation.
As the name indicates, this indicator measure the consumer confidence. It is defined as the degree of optimism that the consumers have in terms of the state of the economy, which is expresses through consumers saving and spending activity. This economic indicator is released last Tuesday of the month, and it measures how confident people feel about their income stability that has a direct effect on their economic decisions, in other words, their spending activity.
For this reason, CCI is seen as a key indicator for the overall shape of the economy. The measurements are used as an indicative of consumption component level of the gross domestic product and the Federal Reserve looks at CCI when determining interest rate changes. This report gives a measurement of how much people are spending on longer-term purchases products that are expected to last more than 3 years and it may provide some insight into the future of the manufacturing industry.
It is useful for investors not only in nominal terms of order levels, but as a sign of business demand as a whole. Capital goods represent the higher — cost capital upgrades a company can make and signals confidence in business conditions, which could lead to increased sales further up the supply chain and gains in hours worked and non-farm payroll.
Some of the strengths of the durable goods orders are:. The report in general gives more insight into the supply chain that most indicators, and can be especially useful in helping investors to get a feel for earnings potential in the most represented industries. The Beige Book in general consist of reports from banks and interviews with economists, market experts, etc. The discussions usually held are around the labor markets, wage and price pressures, retail and ecommerce activity and manufacturing output.
The importance the beige Books brings to the investors is that they can see comments which are forward-looking and may assist in predicting the trends and anticipate changes over the next few months. Interest rates are the major drivers of the forex market and all the above mentioned economic indicators are closely watched by the Federal Open Market Committee in order to determine the overall health of the economy.
The Fed can decide accordingly if they will lower, rise or leave the interest rates unchanged, all depending on the evidence gathered on the health of the economy. The existence of interest rates allows borrowers to spend money immediately instead of waiting to save the money to make a purchase. The lower the interest rate, the more willing people are to borrow money to make big purchases, such as houses or cars. When consumers pay less in interest, this gives them more money to spend which can create a ripple effect of increased spending throughout the economy.
On the other hand, higher interest rates mean that consumers do not have as much disposable income and must cut back on spending. When higher interest rate are combined with increased lending standards, banks make fewer loans. This affects the consumers, businesses and farmers who will cut back on spending for new equipment, thus slowing the productivity or reducing the number of employees.
Whenever interest rates are rising or falling, we hear about the federal funds rate the rate banks use to lend each other money. The changes in the interest rates can affect both inflation and recession. Inflation refers to the rise in the price of goods and services over time, as a result of a strong and healthy economy. However, if inflation is left unchecked, it can lead to a significant loss of purchasing power.
As can be seen, interest rates affect the economy by influencing consumer and business spending, inflation and recessions. By adjusting the federal funds rate, the Fed helps keep the economy in balance over the long term. Understanding the relationships between interest rates and the U.
The report comprises the number of new homes that have begun building within the month as well as existing home sales. Residential activity is a major cause of economic stimulus for a country and is a good measure of economic strength. Low existing home sales and low new home starts can be viewed as a sign of a weak economy. Both building permits and housing stats will be shown as a percentage change from the prior month and year-over-year period.
Leading Index an index used monthly to predict the direction of global economic movements in the months to come. This is typically not a report that shocks the market, however some analysts will use the housing starts report to help create estimated for other consumer-based indicators.
Their importance lies in the correlation with the GDP, as strong corporate profits reflect a rise in sales and encourage job growth. Corporations use their profit to raise financing, pay dividends to the shareholders or to re-invest in their business.
In addition, investors look for good investment opportunities, therefore they increase the stock market performance. The Trade Balance is the difference between imports and exports of a given country for a given time period. Trade surpluses are desirable, where a positive value means that the exports are greater that imports; while on the other hand, trade deficits can lead towards a significant domestic debt. This statistical measurement is an economic indicator of the overall health of the economy, determined by the consumer opinion.
Consumer sentiment can be used so as to see how optimistic or pessimistic people are towards the current market conditions. The Manufacturing PMI is an indicator the economic health of the manufacturing sector of a given country. The index is based on the surveys of sales managers from leading companies across the manufacturing sector, measuring their opinion of the current economic state and the future prospects. Have you seen these interesting charts?
The US economic calendar is the most important one since the country is the largest world economy. The most important indicators mainly impact the price of the dollar, having important effects in other markets and currencies. Canada is one of the world's strongest economies mainly due to its natural resources, technology industry and membership in international trade agreements, such as the United States—Mexico—Canada Agreement USMCA or Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership.
Among the events with the greatest impact are announcements from the Bank of Canada, which is currently chaired by Tiff Macklem. The United Kingdom has the sixth-largest national economy and its monetary policy is watched by the Bank of England, whose Governor is Andrew Bailey. Its capital, London, is the second-largest financial center in the world, behind only New York. The UK economy is so important that its movements have a direct impact on a wide number of markets as well as on different currencies.
Some of the most relevant indicators of the United Kingdom Economic Calendar include:. Its prosperous growth in recent years has allowed Australia's economy to become one of the strongest in the world, being the sixth country in the world in the quality-of-life index.
The Australian economy is particularly rich in commodities, with the Down Under country mainly sourcing its resources to China and other Asian countries. The Reserve Bank of Australia is responsible for providing services to both other central banks and the Australian Government. Some of the most relevant indicators of the Australian Economic Calendar include:.
We have a dedicated team of economists and journalists who update all the data 24h a day, 5 days a week. To trade Forex through fundamental analysis, you have to check how economies over the world are doing based on their macroeconomics data such as GDP, employment, consumption data, inflation… , watching closely the countries of the currencies you are trading the most. Big news events can, and often do, cause big swings with a single movement going several percent in one direction.
To know the events and releases better and learn different aspects that can influences or improve your trading, we collected some of the best educational articles, reports and videos about news trading. Check them out! All data are displayed in chronological order, divided by day. A light grey horizontal line shows you where we stand at the moment and below that line go all upcoming data.
Time left before next release is indicated so you quickly grasp when this is coming. When a new data is released, the calendar page is automatically refreshed so you do not miss it. If you want, you can enable a sound notification for all releases. A flag icon indicates the country of the data release, and next to it, its currency.
So you can quickly scan and see what currencies might be affected today or in some specific days. Shall a bar be red and long, market observers expect this data to have great probability to move the Forex market. Shall this bar be yellow and short, the probability is viewed as low.
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